There is no stat to rule them all to be honest and I've looked at a few, i like XG more macro then micro i.e. i don't like it judging individual players, put in judging team outcomes it tends to be more indicative of trends then not
Ours is far too high not to come home with more goals to be honest. You are right in the sense you make your own luck - but did we make our own luck yesterday or did Sa.... The other thing is the law of probability, sometimes its just turned on its head - Fulham and Wolves are an example one side not scoring and the opposite side was Brighton last year with a lower XG, you have to allow for the chaos of probability.
As far Dyche, what can he change - is it tactics no - we've done the possession thing with Lampard, the Counter thing with Benitiez, the block thing with Carlo. I dont think the issue is the method. Do we play with an incisive playmaker - like Maddison - we dont have one.
Honestly dont beleive results are down to the manager, i think we've been terribly unlucky, via not being far of administration and not being able to give him - or other manager who comes in the tools at the right time to do the job. In the midst of that there are 8 players waiting to come who i mentioned in my last post in or bed in to influence in attacking areas - 8 players!!!!
Does a change improve things for us? No. Does patience, yes.
We've changed manager what 4 times in 24 months - have we gotten better or worse. last thing we need is another reboot, if we do it we will go down.